Spatiotemporal drivers of foodborne disease seasonality pattern in a coastal city of China.

BMC Public Health · 2025 · PMC12798029 · PMID 41361812

Europe PMC DOI

hedged sentences

0.0520

closest p · 1.0× alpha

0.1000

boldest claim

The sentences

borderline significantp = 0.052so close (0.05 < p ≤ 0.1)

The observed borderline significant inhibitory effect of wind speed ( WindU10; OR = 0.11; p = 0.052) aligns with studies reporting inverse wind-FBD associations, often with temporal lags [ 20 , 37 ].

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of borderline significancep < 0.10so close (0.05 < p ≤ 0.1)

a trend towards significanceno p-value reported

Variables with Associations of Borderline Significance (0.05 ≤ p < 0.10) WindU10 ( β = -2.18, p = 0.052; OR = 0.11) showed a negative association with a trend towards significance.

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marginally significantno p-value reported

(3) Accommodation and catering industry GDP and east-west wind speed exhibited marginally significant associations, highlighting the potential synergistic risks posed by economic factors and extreme weather under climate change. Conclusion This study uncovers the asymmetric drivers of seasonal FBD patterns in a coastal city, providing crucial scientific evidence for refining seasonal prevention and control strategies against FBD in coastal city settings amidst global climate change.

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highly significantno p-value reported

Nevertheless, the large and highly significant AME suggests that population density is a strong predictor of concentrated summer outbreaks, likely through increased human contact and transmission opportunities.

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a decreasing trendno p-value reported

Overall, the accuracy showed a decreasing trend as the recall rate increases.

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