Joint spatiotemporal modelling of tuberculosis and human immunodeficiency virus in Ethiopia using a Bayesian hierarchical approach.

8 show that the shared temporal effect almost captures the increasing trend in HIV risk for the first three study years and then a decreasing trend in 2018, whereas the specific effect is negligible because the relative risk estimates are very close to one for all years.

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All the correlations are statistically highly significant at a 1% significance level.

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Based on the case notification data, the relative risk of HIV had an increasing trend between 2016 and 2018, and this risk was generally higher compared to the relative risk of TB within the same period.

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While the mean raw yearly TB SIRs showed a slightly increasing trend, the raw HIV SIRs showed an inconsistency in the yearly trend.

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