Future projection of climate extremes across contiguous northeast India and Bangladesh.

In SSP126, a highly significant negative correlation of − 0.54 was observed between R20 and DTR, and a highly significant positive correlation of 0.37 existed between R20 and WSDI.

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Notably, only specific areas within the region exhibit a significant trend in CWD.

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Notably, there is a significant positive trend of up to 0.15% per year (under SSP126) and a negative trend of up to − 0.35% per year (under SSP585) for TN10p, as illustrated in Fig.

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Our results are consistent with the overall trends of these indices at the regional level, suggesting a decreasing trend for cold indices and an increasing trend for warm indices.

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